NBA

May 22, 2025

Pacers vs. Knicks: AI Player Props

The Eastern Conference Finals tip off at Madison Square Garden as the Indiana Pacers face the New York Knicks in Game 1. If you're breaking down the Pacers vs Knicks Player Props, the model identifies strong value on two role players: T.J. McConnell Over 11½ PAR and Aaron Nesmith Over 13½ Points + Assists.

Let’s break down both picks and why they stand out in the prop market heading into this series opener.

Pacers vs Knicks Player Prop: T.J. McConnell

The AI model projects T.J. McConnell for 13.4 combined Points + Assists + Rebounds, giving solid value on the Over 11½ (-120) line. This makes it one of the sharper Pacers vs Knicks Player Prop Bets heading into Game 1.

Betting Insights

  • Prop: McConnell Over 11½ Points + Assists + Rebounds
  • Odds: -120 at DraftKings
  • Model Projection: 13.4 PAR
  • Edge: 1.9 PAR above the line

Pacers vs Knicks Player Prop: Aaron Nesmith

The AI model forecasts Aaron Nesmith for 15.1 combined Points + Assists, favoring the Over 13½ (-110) in Game 1. With his workload and versatility continuing to rise, this line may be too low.

Betting Insights

  • Prop: Nesmith Over 13½ Points + Assists
  • Odds: -110 at MGM
  • Model Projection: 15.1 PA
  • Edge: 1.6 PA above the line

This plays a key role in my NBA player prop picks. For more, check out our NBA AI Predictions page!

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In-Depth Game Analysis: Pacers vs Knicks Player Props – McConnell

  • Bench Production: McConnell plays a high-energy role and has been averaging over 22 minutes per game in the postseason. He’s topped this PAR line in 5 of his last 6 games.
  • Playmaking Impact: He continues to serve as the Pacers’ primary table-setter when Haliburton is off the floor and adds sneaky value with his rebounding.
  • Game 1 Matchup Fit: Against New York’s physical second unit, McConnell’s quickness and tempo control should help him rack up stats on both ends.

In-Depth Game Analysis: Pacers vs Knicks Player Props – Nesmith

  • Usage Climb: Nesmith played 34+ minutes in each of his last 5 playoff games and is seeing consistent touches as both a spot-up shooter and secondary ball handler.
  • Shooting Confidence: He’s shooting over 39% from deep in the playoffs and will benefit from New York’s tendency to collapse in the paint.
  • Assist Boost: With Haliburton often facing traps, Nesmith has become a valuable release valve and facilitator—hitting this combined number in 4 of his last 6.

Final Thoughts for Pacers vs. Knicks AI Player Prop Bets

This Pacers vs. Knicks matchup offers a standout opportunity in the player props market for Dyson Daniels. Leveraging our AI insights ensures a strategic edge in analyzing trends and game dynamics.

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