Baseball fans — if you're trying to get an edge with smarter bets, it’s time to master the MLB run line. But what is a run line bet in MLB, and how does it work?
In this article, we’ll explain the MLB run line meaning, how to bet it, what +1.5 and -1.5 runlines mean, and how to find profitable spots using AI-powered picks on Prophetable.TV.
The MLB run line is baseball’s version of a point spread. It’s almost always set at 1.5 runs.
This makes underdogs more appealing, and favorites more profitable only if they win by a decent margin.
Let’s say the Yankees are -1.5 vs the Red Sox:
Now flip it:
If the Red Sox are +1.5:
This is the foundation of MLB run line betting.
A +1.5 run line means your team can either win OR lose by just 1 run for your bet to cash. It's a safer bet for underdogs, especially in close matchups.
A -1.5 run line means your team must win by at least 2 runs. This is riskier, but often comes with plus-money odds (+120, +135, etc.), which is where real value can be found with sharp projections.
The MLB run line often offers better odds than the moneyline — especially when betting favorites. Rather than laying -200 to back a heavy favorite, betting them -1.5 on the run line might offer +110.
At Prophetable.TV, our MLB Picks help you find value on both sides, using confidence scores, pitcher matchups, and trends.
The alternate run line lets you adjust the spread — usually to +2.5, -2.5, or even +3.5 — with changing odds.
Example:
At Prophetable.TV, our picks occasionally recommend alternate run lines based on pitching data and win probability — so you know when to go big and when to stay safe.
If you’re asking:
Now you know: it’s the smarter way to bet on margins, not just outcomes.
At Prophetable.TV, our AI picks give you:
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