June 6, 2025
The Philadelphia Phillies and Pittsburgh Pirates open a three-game series tonight at PNC Park, with first pitch scheduled for 6:40 PM ET. The Phillies are favored at -136 on the moneyline, while the Pirates are +115 underdogs. The total is set at 9 runs, with the under priced at -119 . Given the pitching matchup and recent trends, our top play is the under 9 runs.
The Phillies enter the game with a 37-25 record, while the Pirates sit at 23-40. Philadelphia's offense has averaged 3.5 runs per game over their last 10 outings, and Pittsburgh's offense has been inconsistent throughout the season. With both teams sending capable starters to the mound, the under is the preferred play in this Phillies vs. Pirates prediction.
Joe Ross takes the mound for Philadelphia, bringing a 2-1 record with a 4.34 ERA and 22 strikeouts . The Phillies' offense has been inconsistent, averaging 3.5 runs per game over their last 10 outings . Given Ross's ability to limit damage and the team's recent offensive struggles, the under is appealing in this Phillies vs. Pirates prediction.
Bailey Falter starts for Pittsburgh, boasting a 4-3 record with a 3.14 ERA and 41 strikeouts . The Pirates have struggled offensively, averaging just 3.2 runs per game over their last 10 games. With Falter's recent success and the team's offensive woes, the under is a strong consideration in this Phillies vs. Pirates prediction.mlb.com
Considering the pitching matchup and both teams' recent offensive struggles, the under 9 runs is our top pick for this Phillies vs. Pirates prediction. The combination of Ross and Falter on the mound, along with inconsistent offenses, points to a low-scoring game.
Pick: Under 9.0 Total Runs
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This Phillies vs Pirates game promises to be a tactical showdown with significant implications for the total points market.
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